Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $230.56
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $325
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$69.44
Polymarket Trader
autriche
0x84ca0e90cfd2e917d2c1adde00a983f474cf123d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $346.84
- Realized PnL
- $624.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $116.28
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $16.28
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.5
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.32
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.22
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.22
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.41
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $15.03
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.63
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
No position
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
No position
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 28% 14.82 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 28% 7.14 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 23% 52.17 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 11% 181.82 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 93.9% 107.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 169.49 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 99.1% 222.33 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 94% 228.75 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.9% 107.52 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 555.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 169.49 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 86% 116.28 shares