No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $143.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $14.75
Polymarket Trader
OneBadBet
0x84f820558e744c1debe52f499a919c115c3b0ff2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.67K
- Realized PnL
- $20.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $537.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $47.51
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- User PnL
- $94
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $36.5
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- User PnL
- $172.92
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $27.75
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $67.25
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $172.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$65.71
Blazers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$22.79
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- User PnL
- $31.67
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $995
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $986.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $991
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $984
- Potential profit
- $984
- User PnL
- -$97.64
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $894.46
- Potential payout
- $907.16
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $11.97
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677
- Potential profit
- $677
- User PnL
- -$234.87
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $624.62
- Potential payout
- $656.81
- Potential profit
- $32.18
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $623.37
- Potential payout
- $627.77
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- User PnL
- $65.98
No position
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $616.36
- Potential payout
- $624.79
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $593.78
- Potential payout
- $599.47
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- User PnL
- $79.09
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $502.56
- Potential profit
- $502.56
- User PnL
- -$417.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.05
Yes position
Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $702.89
Yes position
Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $694.06
No position
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $692.49
de Ridder position
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $570.61
No position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $507.95
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.29
No position
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.87
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.82
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.33
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.63
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.17
No position
Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.45
Yes position
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.96
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.16
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.42
Yes position
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $375.99
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $430B and $435B on January 31
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.31
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.18
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 98.8% 250 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 98.8% 750 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 73.4% 107.07 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 16% 107.08 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 97.6% 299.47 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?No 99.1% 838.81 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 97.5% 1,000 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 94% 1,000 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 98.9% 350 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 96.9% 42.95 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 93.9% 1,500 shares