Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.21K
- Potential profit
- $7.21K
- User PnL
- -$77.04
Polymarket Trader
0x84fdf3382Af0BdCF7D8e6272f477334CAC442f81-1733944114414
0x84fdf3382af0bdcf7d8e6272f477334cac442f81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.11K
- Realized PnL
- $16.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $5.15K
- User PnL
- -$404.54
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- User PnL
- -$116.12
No position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- User PnL
- -$508.78
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$223.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$252.5
No position
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- User PnL
- -$7.43
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$155.54
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$71.83
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$16.95
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$95.99
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$24.2
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $586.02
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $509.34
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $16.72
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 3 Real Oviedo?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$103.15
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $521.02
- Potential payout
- $876.4
- Potential profit
- $355.38
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$124.53
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $847.4
- Potential profit
- $847.4
- User PnL
- -$31.17
Yes position
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840.52
- Potential profit
- $840.52
- User PnL
- -$628.75
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $820
- Potential profit
- $820
- User PnL
- -$30.62
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$31.97
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$30.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.62
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.7
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $577.56
Yes position
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?
Ends Jun 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.42
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.69
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.47
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.2
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.5
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.4
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.43
No position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.6
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by October 15?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.81
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.71
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.98
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.61
Yes position
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.22
No position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?Yes 8% 100 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 11% 227.27 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 13% 57.69 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Egypt?Yes 6.6% 151.52 shares
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 7.1% 100 shares
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver 57% 17.54 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 54.24 shares
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?Yes 11% 100 shares