Polymarket Trader

0x84fE37817a9797761d141977d0F12043F75B1222-1771632974077

0x84fe37817a9797761d141977d0f12043f75b1222

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $858.81
Realized PnL: $290.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $144.57
Potential payout: $525.69
Potential profit: $381.13
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $24.57

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $36.29
Potential payout: $439.83
Potential profit: $403.54
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$13.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $71.85
Potential payout: $391.54
Potential profit: $319.69
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $36.32

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $327.52
Potential payout: $327.52
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.52

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $112.92
Potential payout: $322.18
Potential profit: $209.26
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: $64.84

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $30.16
Potential payout: $300.12
Potential profit: $269.95
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$19.84

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $14.98
Potential payout: $232.29
Potential profit: $217.31
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$5.02

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.47
Potential profit: $91.47
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $50.82
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $4.12
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $21.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.88

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.73
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $12.25
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$7.75

Over position

England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.3
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $9.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.17

No position

England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.17

Yes position

Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.03

No position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.09

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

India position

T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

No position

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $3.44

Sri Lanka position

T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealand

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

West Indies position

T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5

Over 89% 10.3 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Yes 34% 9.35 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

No 83% 3.19 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

England 88% 22.73 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

No 94.7% 427.58 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 72% 525.69 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

No 98.9% 101.11 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

No 92.9% 107.59 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

No 92% 108.73 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

No 92% 217.44 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

No 91.2% 109.62 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

No 90.7% 110.31 shares