Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.03K
- Potential profit
- $13.03K
- User PnL
- -$961.64
Polymarket Trader
rainrein
0x8503d5cf4994be7d5f9a248308eca2865f46abdd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.56K
- Realized PnL
- $8.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $198.01
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$357.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$936
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $790
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$254.61
Y
Yes position
Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$42.77
Y
Yes position
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $941.18
- Potential profit
- $941.18
- User PnL
- -$169.41
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.7%
- Current value
- $317.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $482.8
- Multiplier
- 2.52x
- User PnL
- $29.2
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $158
- Potential payout
- $799.98
- Potential profit
- $641.98
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$187.79
Y
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$145
Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$244
Y
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$168
Y
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$104
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$102.5
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $101
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$77.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$110.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $129.99
- User PnL
- -$57.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.66
- Potential profit
- $120.66
- User PnL
- -$51.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 1AM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$46
Mexico position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $982.02
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $890.76
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.36
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.03
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11PM ET
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.41
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.89
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.01
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 10PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.79
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 5,200 shares
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina 74.8% 90 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 5,200 shares
- Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico 32% 100 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 24.6 shares
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder 70% 25 shares
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco 81% 80 shares
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands 50% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.6% 9 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?No 47% 100 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 13% 10 shares