Polymarket Trader

ElJefeGrande

0x8506af3b16761252e4882fd2f156ad6291152a45

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $296.52
Realized PnL: $204.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $49.93
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $50.51
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $29.4
User PnL: -$24.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.04
Potential profit: $29.04
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.41
Potential profit: $28.41
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $25.9
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $24.97
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$22.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$22.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$23.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$23.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $25.14
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $24.61
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $23.48
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$21.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$23.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $25.21
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$23.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $23.19
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $25.07
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $23.92
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$23.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$23.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C or higher on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?

No 91.7% 25.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 20?

No 99.9% 25.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 20?

No 99.9% 25.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 3.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?

No 98.7% 25.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 96°F or higher on June 20?

No 99.9% 50.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?

No 94.7% 25.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 20?

No 99.9% 25.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 20?

No 99.9% 50.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 25.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 21?

No 99% 25.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 21?

No 99% 1.86 shares