Polymarket Trader

0x8508f4b41F9C6D636043B2c058acaAc79Ea99fda-1765369540606

0x8508f4b41f9c6d636043b2c058acaac79ea99fda

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.83K
Realized PnL: $664.85
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $21.02K
Potential profit: $19.27K
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $105.48

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.80 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $5.21K
User PnL: -$92.68

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $66.93
Potential payout: $4.32K
Potential profit: $4.25K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$46.7

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$49.54

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$12.72

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.36
Potential profit: $637.36
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.78
Potential profit: $460.78
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.1
Potential profit: $417.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $333.34
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.5
Potential profit: $261.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.38
Potential profit: $234.38
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.62
Potential profit: $222.62
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.79
Potential profit: $118.79
User PnL: -$3.92

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.61
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $78.53
Potential profit: $76.61
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $10.92

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Yes 2.5% 78.53 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 2,500 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.1% 1,106.51 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 1,776.67 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 6.9% 684.44 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 1,140.83 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.8% 230.45 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 8.2% 960.21 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.8% 742.43 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Yes 12.1% 131.57 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Yes 3.8% 131.58 shares