No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.71
- Potential profit
- $335.71
- User PnL
- -$21
Polymarket Trader
0x850f5e0dF9288698dcE54436b021615B8C59abB8-1772554416279
0x850f5e0df9288698dce54436b021615b8c59abb8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $138.02
- Realized PnL
- $80.06
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $72.08
- Potential payout
- $73.03
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.08
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $53.19
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.77
- Potential profit
- $52.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $14.33
- Potential payout
- $43.42
- Potential profit
- $29.09
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$18.67
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.29
- Potential profit
- $36.29
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $26.58
- Potential profit
- $17.15
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$11.56
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.25
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.13
- Potential payout
- $24.14
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.99
- Potential profit
- $23.99
- User PnL
- -$19.91
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $18.05
- Potential payout
- $21.23
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.93
- Potential profit
- $19.93
- User PnL
- -$17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 77% 21.23 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 79% 26.58 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 76% 43.42 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.5% 42.94 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.2% 39.15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.1% 30.08 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 76% 39.16 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 80% 37.5 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Yes 86.8% 32.27 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 83% 23.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 82% 25.61 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 80% 27.5 shares