Polymarket Trader

0x8512...1a76

0x8512d9bccaa88274b08bebb412662a5cd2b61a76

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $811.36
Realized PnL: $2.15K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $214.53
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $948.26
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $114.54

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $148.58
Potential payout: $943.4
Potential profit: $794.81
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $48.59

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $112.42
Potential payout: $606.06
Potential profit: $493.64
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $12.42

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $111.99
Potential payout: $386.16
Potential profit: $274.17
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $11.98

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $56.97
Potential payout: $359.42
Potential profit: $302.46
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: -$193.03

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $117.26
Potential payout: $355.87
Potential profit: $238.61
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $17.26

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $49.6
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $29.76
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $853.09

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.95

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.71

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.77

No position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.22

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.59

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Over position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.57

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Over position

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10.19

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.63

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47

Over position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 79.37 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 25.9% 386.15 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5

Over 61% 65.57 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 65% 148.14 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 27% 148.15 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Over 62% 96.77 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 19% 128.2 shares
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5

Over 33% 61.72 shares
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5

Over 81% 61.73 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 60.24 shares
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 30% 5 shares