0x8525595Ffd7d23bF0CA807543c32ee32908A46d6-1774882759813

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $530.3
Potential payout: $42.42K
Potential profit: $41.89K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $60.41

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $423.1
Potential payout: $17.27K
Potential profit: $16.85K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $173.12

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $932.53
Potential payout: $16.22K
Potential profit: $15.29K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$394.44

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $67.9
Potential payout: $15.09K
Potential profit: $15.02K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$47.09

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $319.56
Potential payout: $12.06K
Potential profit: $11.74K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $114.57

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $330.92
Potential payout: $8.38K
Potential profit: $8.05K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$109.06

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $401.44
Potential payout: $6.98K
Potential profit: $6.58K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$200.53

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $377.31
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $3.3K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$43.68

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $557.65
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: -$37.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.79
Potential profit: $174.79
User PnL: -$33.91

Yes position

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.59
Potential profit: $134.59
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $37.77
Potential payout: $132.58
Potential profit: $94.8
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $7.77

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.85
Potential profit: $103.85
User PnL: -$18.82

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.81
Potential profit: $95.81
User PnL: -$21.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.34
Potential profit: $91.34
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.01
Potential profit: $67.01
User PnL: -$9.38

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $22.62
Potential payout: $63.72
Potential profit: $41.1
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.65
Potential profit: $60.65
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.49
Potential profit: $51.49
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.12
Potential profit: $47.12
User PnL: -$9.42

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.12
Potential profit: $47.12
User PnL: -$9.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.52

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.43

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?