Polymarket Trader

sghdln

0x8528f1271acc7a7c0138b25bd055b2d99063a81f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $204.02
Realized PnL: $47.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $89.96
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $19.76
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $19.83
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: -$0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.62
Potential profit: $16.62
User PnL: -$1.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.1
Potential profit: $14.1
User PnL: -$4.94

Aura Farmers position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Magic vs Aura Farmers (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.15
Potential profit: $10.15
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $9.91
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: -$0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $5.31
User PnL: -$5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1.97

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$2

Boston Red Sox position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Celtics position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Over position

Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

paiN Academy position

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

UCAM Esports Club position

LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilic

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Thunder position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 25?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?

Yes 99.9% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 99.7% 90 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 99.8% 20 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 98% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 4.99 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 99.6% 20 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 99.9% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.7% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23?

Yes 99.9% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 20?

No 99.5% 0.82 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox 56% 1.79 shares