Polymarket Trader

1-Nature

0x852cd8cd40e5932a0be5a63e40d66f224133d0e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $198.77
Realized PnL: $15.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.98
Potential payout: $21.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.4

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.85
Potential profit: $8.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $6.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?

No 97.8% 2.91 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 96.4% 30 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

No 95.7% 20 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 94% 10 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 14% 10 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Yes 74% 10 shares
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Yes 51% 1.96 shares
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

No 91% 21.98 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 93% 70.42 shares
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Yes 61% 3.28 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 71% 70.42 shares
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Yes 57% 3.51 shares