Polymarket Trader

Mr.Kirk

0x853212cd809da6acc458021c106af749b7aa738b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.82K
Realized PnL: $22.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $20.45K
Potential profit: $18.47K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $493.41

Under position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$259.99

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $6.42K
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $637.5

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $176.82
Potential payout: $7.69K
Potential profit: $7.51K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$95.95

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.77K
Potential profit: $6.77K
User PnL: -$3.88K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $5.63K
Potential payout: $6.36K
Potential profit: $731.44
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.17K

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.93K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$197.49

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $525

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.27K
User PnL: -$569.32

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $117.28
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$27.46

Over position

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$101.84

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $212.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $62.5

No position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$448.3

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$480

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$668

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$225

Over position

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$630

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$861

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $922.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $577.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $752.36
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $680.7
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $324.75
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $900.74
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$81.05

Over position

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$108

76ers position

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$557.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39K

High Point Panthers position

High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829

No position

United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $821.32

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $821.3

No position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $696.2

No position

Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663.38

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.5

No position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $597.58

Jacoby position

UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $564

North Alabama Lions position

North Alabama Lions vs. San Francisco Dons

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559

Yes position

Will Keshad Johnson win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.79

Over position

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530

Miami position

Spread: Miami (-6.5)

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.5

Tom Nolan position

UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.5

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499

No position

Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.49

Over position

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470

Colombia position

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.2

Notre Dame position

Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.97

Eric McConico position

UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.76

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $405.63

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.4

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.7% 5,000 shares
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 40% 1,000 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 30% 1,000 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Over 62% 1,000 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Over 99.9% 214.38 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Over 99.9% 500 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Over 64% 68.75 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Over 47% 79.38 shares
Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Japan 35% 1,000 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 64% 1,500 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5

Over 38% 500 shares
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Brazil 61% 500 shares