No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $303.44
- Potential payout
- $335.29
- Potential profit
- $31.85
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $17.44
Polymarket Trader
TianSgg02
0x853593caaa41bc13eddcfe446e38542e8a0b25df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $559.17
- Realized PnL
- $229.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $199.89
- Potential payout
- $213.9
- Potential profit
- $14.01
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $50.57
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.07
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.97
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
EDward Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 38% 5 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No 98% 5 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 96.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?No 99.7% 62.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?Yes 98.9% 50.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 10?No 99.9% 10 shares
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming 99.9% 116.16 shares
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming 99% 116.16 shares
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming 99% 111.41 shares
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAnyones Legend 90% 444.44 shares
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming 89.8% 111.41 shares
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming 53% 14.28 shares