Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $45.75
- Potential payout
- $338.86
- Potential profit
- $293.11
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Polymarket Trader
0x8536...3da3
0x8536363a0fc06caa6ab586af5b6f7cb377a63da3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $149.32
- Realized PnL
- $422.82
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $166.68
- Potential profit
- $116.68
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $53.57
- Potential payout
- $59.16
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Warrior" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$12.96
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $115.61
Yes position
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.26
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.06
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.98
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.88
No position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.4
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.67
Yes position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.43
No position
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes 13% 130.08 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes 13% 38.23 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes 15% 30 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes 18% 100 shares
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?No 10% 12.99 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 55.8% 71.64 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 62.1% 30.49 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 79.4% 25 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 79% 31.65 shares
- Will Trump say "Warrior" this week?Yes 54% 10 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 40% 58.1 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No 87% 28.05 shares