Polymarket Trader

WarriorPooh

0x853c37a959a5791b849e3f3225c7f5963746bd03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.39K
Realized PnL: $177.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $16.32K
Potential profit: $16.31K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.97K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $4.43K
Potential payout: $12.3K
Potential profit: $7.87K
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $812.96

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.65K
Potential profit: $10.65K
User PnL: -$2.18K

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.54K
Potential profit: $9.54K
User PnL: -$2.15K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.67K
User PnL: -$1.86K

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99K
Potential profit: $6.99K
User PnL: -$2.38K

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $6.3K
User PnL: -$713.82

No position

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $4.29K
User PnL: -$392.65

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$246.16

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $120.71
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$138.53

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $991.27
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $971.64
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $36.31

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $729.11
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$276.48

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$44.07

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $700.63
Potential profit: $697.13
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$82.13

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625.26
Potential profit: $625.26
User PnL: -$74.78

No position

Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $593.64
Potential profit: $593.64
User PnL: -$40.84

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $258.11
Potential profit: $249.21
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$99.75

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $227
Potential profit: $216.44
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $43.13
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $71.88
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $88.32
Potential profit: $84.35
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$33.25

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $66
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $22.2
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $37.8
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$24.2

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $16.36
Potential payout: $48.13
Potential profit: $31.77
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $3.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.33K

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.11K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.67K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.21K

Yes position

US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.85K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97K

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24K

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96K

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.02K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $3.95K

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.67K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.56K

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.04K

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $2.71K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 10,010 shares
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 74.7% 2,789.14 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 41.8% 4,081 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 55.4% 1,125.2 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 52.9% 864 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 51% 25 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 35.2% 582 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 42.9% 1,600 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 65% 800 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 65% 800 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 43.5% 4,008 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 16.9% 5,917 shares