No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Polymarket Trader
ira476vivien
0x85437715279f1c984566e0f5431ef87b5de586fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.81
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 2.9% 36 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74% 24 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74% 55 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.5% 47 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.5% 42 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 39 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 39 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 96.6% 38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 41% 97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 85% 9 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 85% 9 shares