Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $382.69
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $665.78
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $27.44
Polymarket Trader
0x854e4d73287126Df3966b187d29dB7C4CD4Fb675-1767787438325
0x854e4d73287126df3966b187d29db7c4cd4fb675
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $384.38
- Realized PnL
- $7.16K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $329.99
- Potential profit
- $328.51
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.5
N
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.17
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.71
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.72
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.69
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.32
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.82
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.8
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?No 9% 111.11 shares
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?No 9% 111.11 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 12% 100 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 98.6% 314.46 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 98% 30.61 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 97.8% 89.98 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 97.5% 19.49 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 98.5% 39.59 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 98.7% 101.32 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 98.6% 101.42 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 98.6% 299.19 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 98.6% 1,014.19 shares