No position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $229.98
- Potential payout
- $294.85
- Potential profit
- $64.87
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $43.98
Polymarket Trader
0x85a7...3e32
0x85a7420fb5a9385caf3fb84633815c33fd4e3e32
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $236.79
- Realized PnL
- $345.52
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $39.8
- Potential profit
- $34.03
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.77
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.17
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.52
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.13
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Sweden by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.86
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99% 65.54 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 99.9% 24.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 99.4% 245.27 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes 99.6% 15.54 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 57% 34.91 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 64% 179.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 65% 30.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No 99.3% 221.32 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 43% 24.56 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 57% 38.84 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes 64% 15.55 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 25% 39.8 shares