No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $801.91
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $184.94
Polymarket Trader
novgan
0x85aba83550f8007a4e4febe4703de6c47184821e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $1.39K
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.14
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.78
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.98
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.27
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $87.11
Yes position
Will Fury beat Usyk?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$251.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 69% 11.59 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 68% 3,072.66 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 75% 1.95 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 75% 1.47 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 72% 2.9 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 69% 816.41 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 86.9% 646.72 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 63% 2,125.24 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 84.6% 1,583.34 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 81.3% 2,230.07 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?No 97.3% 1,864.87 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?No 62.7% 1,864.88 shares