Polymarket Trader

-Harnisch1003-

0x85c06787486a90e05ba1df96c034ef95c8cce01d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $10.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: -$5.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$7.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$7.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$33.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on December 14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$77.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or higher on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$11.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$12.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$69.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$13.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$16.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$36.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$37.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$89.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$21.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $996.52
Potential profit: $996.52
User PnL: -$22.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994.19
Potential profit: $994.19
User PnL: -$66.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $967.14
Potential profit: $967.14
User PnL: -$10.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.1
Potential profit: $950.1
User PnL: -$1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $568.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.82

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 97.4% 101.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 14.7% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 17?

Yes 9.6% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 13.4% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?

Yes 4.9% 187.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?

Yes 4.2% 44.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 5.3% 144.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?

Yes 3.3% 273.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 17?

Yes 8% 137.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 17?

Yes 5.7% 183.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 4.5% 192.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?

Yes 11.1% 200 shares