Polymarket Trader

CX-Hello

0x85c8a5cb159b6117d10dbfcbb3becfda8ea64066

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.35
Realized PnL: $386.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $33.2
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $22.63
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$7.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $12.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $14.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

No 29% 40 shares
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

No 96% 14 shares
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

No 90% 1.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?

Yes 15.6% 7.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 29?

Yes 34% 5.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?

Yes 25% 5.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 29?

Yes 20% 5.2 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Yes 36% 5.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?

Yes 45% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

Up 99.9% 1.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 27?

Yes 19% 5 shares