Polymarket Trader

Nikoco

0x85c9fd3157c2415a8a49e8ea35677bfd1d96fcc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $363.14
Realized PnL: $5.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49K
Potential profit: $14.49K
User PnL: -$199.51

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$11.71

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$781.11

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$571.51

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $983.3
Potential profit: $983.3
User PnL: -$642.72

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $960.33
Potential profit: $960.33
User PnL: -$31

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $768.45
Potential profit: $768.45
User PnL: -$152.24

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $612.23
Potential profit: $612.23
User PnL: -$480

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.18
Potential profit: $499.18
User PnL: -$370.24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $263.82
Potential payout: $443.4
Potential profit: $179.58
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $28.82

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.65
Potential profit: $351.65
User PnL: -$172.77

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.44
Potential profit: $239.44
User PnL: -$170

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.01
Potential profit: $180.01
User PnL: -$75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.46
Potential profit: $176.46
User PnL: -$100.58

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $99.32
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $37.67
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.38

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652.86

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.64

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.35

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.52

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.09

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.64

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.91

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.13

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.25

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.7

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.57

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.94

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.23

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.68

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.66

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.38

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.59

Yes position

Another France debt downgrade by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 4.6% 332.39 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 54% 28.3 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 31.4% 436.05 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 78% 384.63 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 27% 1,617.26 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 43% 93.1 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 98.6% 40.6 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 53.6% 918.22 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 53.7% 372.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 53% 471.7 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 73% 136.99 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 85.7% 186.7 shares