No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $94.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Polymarket Trader
xujimatrix
0x85cb42acf04c970527bd51359febe499469ddb4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $363.79
- Realized PnL
- $11.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $49.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $9.54
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $9.53
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $9.69
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $9.54
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $9.54
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $9.76
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $9.47
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Espanyol be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Fiorentina reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Y
Yes position
Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Microsoft reach $503 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens make the NHL Playoffs?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 5 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?No 96.4% 5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?No 96% 5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Yes 96.9% 5 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?Yes 96.9% 5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the TX-30 House seat?Yes 96% 5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes 97.1% 5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?No 97% 7 shares
- Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?No 98.6% 7 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No 97.8% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?No 97% 7 shares
- Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 97% 8 shares