Polymarket Trader

rocky42006

0x85d57ae07c1c0cae93f1ed6d05166eff4233bbf0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.83K
Realized PnL: $24.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.86

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.59

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$6.53

Yes position

Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $181.15
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $72.42

Yes position

Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $824.36
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $424.67
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $609.24

Yes position

Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $16.86
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$29.67

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.12
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$32.32

Yes position

Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$8.1

Yes position

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $304.34
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $937.86
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $155.28

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.07
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $33.17
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$52.23

Yes position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $9.53
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$355.39

No position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $89.69
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $965.45
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$122.05

Yes position

Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$18.39

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $149.51
Potential payout: $967.7
Potential profit: $818.19
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$73.17

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $23.6
Potential payout: $813.87
Potential profit: $790.27
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $7.39

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $7.49
Potential payout: $680.46
Potential profit: $672.97
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $46.22
Potential payout: $660.25
Potential profit: $614.03
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$249.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Over position

RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Over position

SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.09K

Katerina Siniakova position

BNP Paribas Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah Fernandez

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

SpVgg Greuther Fürth position

Spread: SpVgg Greuther Fürth (-1.5)

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Over position

US Avellino 1912 vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will FC Metaloglobus București win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Over position

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Sparks position

Sparks vs Fever

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $987.82

Over position

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $987.5

Bulls position

Spread: Spurs (-17.5)

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.94

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $972.8

Over position

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.76

Yes position

Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $927.27

Over position

Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.04

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $910.65

Yes position

Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $908.75

RCD Mallorca position

Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $896.96

Lukas Neumayer position

Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagal

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $881.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 93.2% 16 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 86.2% 180 shares
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 7.9% 13 shares
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 96.1% 14 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 91.5% 273 shares
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 2% 173.84 shares
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

No 98% 5 shares
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 4.7% 38.97 shares
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 5% 222 shares
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 94.8% 38 shares
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 69% 5.62 shares
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 8% 63 shares