No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$583
Polymarket Trader
Sonny-the-Joke
0x85e4b258a8533a3e1c353deae219842a180b5c33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $667.4
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$345
Yes position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $259.49
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $35.5
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $183.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $189.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.2
- Potential profit
- $199.2
- User PnL
- -$149.4
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $21.16
- Potential payout
- $108.5
- Potential profit
- $87.34
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.55
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.8
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.7
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.59
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.71
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.97
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.16
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.49
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.16
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.3% 100 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 98.6% 200 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.5% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 83.7% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 96.2% 299.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 92% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 94% 699.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 69% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 95% 360 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 200 shares
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes 77% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 95.8% 100 shares