Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $179.28
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$159.05
Polymarket Trader
Stickeys
0x85e7e44e1b2eda0e6de42ad5c8c25f2c9daf5e49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $938.8
- Realized PnL
- $1.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $739.23
- Potential profit
- $730.73
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$20.37
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $26.61
- Potential payout
- $620.33
- Potential profit
- $593.71
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$63.52
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.38
- Potential profit
- $611.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $91.65
- Potential payout
- $447.09
- Potential profit
- $355.44
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$68.34
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $221.28
- Potential payout
- $271.54
- Potential profit
- $50.26
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $150.23
- Potential payout
- $236.59
- Potential profit
- $86.35
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$19.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $183.79
- Potential payout
- $203.08
- Potential profit
- $19.29
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.79
Yes position
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $184
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $11.61
- Potential payout
- $154.76
- Potential profit
- $143.15
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.39
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $13.09
- Potential payout
- $100.72
- Potential profit
- $87.63
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $11.67
- Potential payout
- $86.47
- Potential profit
- $74.8
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $24.79
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $49.21
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $42.57
- Potential profit
- $42.27
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.65
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.88
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.7
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.47
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $88.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.32
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.12
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.57
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.72
Yes position
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.77
No position
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $13.98
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.26
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
Will Rob Ashton win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
No position
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Another Canada election called by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 33.8% 74 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes 15% 40 shares
- Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 20% 25 shares