Polymarket Trader

razzial

0x85f02bafb6bf123131c7060dac87ce843b403bdb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $142.03
Realized PnL: $961.22
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.63K
Potential profit: $6.63K
User PnL: -$1.47K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $4.29K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Another Canada election called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$153.5

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$77.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$60

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994.69
Potential profit: $994.69
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $937.5
Potential profit: $937.5
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Obama federally charged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $826.79
Potential profit: $826.79
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $681.82
Potential profit: $569.32
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $653.62
Potential profit: $653.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.06
Potential profit: $567.06
User PnL: -$28.92

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $29.53
Potential payout: $454.25
Potential profit: $424.72
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$50.47

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.43
Potential profit: $446.43
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.1
Potential profit: $439.1
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.84
Potential profit: $409.84
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.09
Potential profit: $409.09
User PnL: -$45

No position

U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.59

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.52

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.4

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.29

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.94

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.62

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.09

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Gentle Mates position

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.52

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 54% 296.3 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 22% 681.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 86% 17.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Down 58% 17.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Down 58% 17.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Down 68% 7.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Down 78% 12.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Up 50% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 77% 25.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 36% 39.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 31.6% 95.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 3.1% 325.9 shares