No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.53
- Potential profit
- $140.53
- User PnL
- -$130
Polymarket Trader
DaddyCowIRELAND
0x8630ead338a9ac4cc07e135afe07d27a382a343e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $511.97
- Realized PnL
- $43.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $60.81
- Potential payout
- $62.11
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $51.56
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $46.32
- Potential payout
- $46.34
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $30.95
- Potential payout
- $33.46
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $31.02
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $24.85
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $6.44
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $20.96
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.56
No position
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $25.78
- Potential payout
- $25.93
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $23.56
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $20.95
- Potential payout
- $22.83
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $22.17
- Potential payout
- $22.29
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $20.31
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $20.17
- Potential payout
- $20.53
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $20.09
- Potential payout
- $20.47
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.42
- Potential payout
- $20.45
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $20.16
- Potential payout
- $20.38
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $20.29
- Potential payout
- $20.37
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $20.35
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $20.25
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $13.98
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $16.02
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 35% 14.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 17% 29.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 80.16 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91.7% 10.9 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes 85% 23.53 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 29.41 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 98.6% 20.28 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes 99.7% 10.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.6% 22.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 11.9 shares