Polymarket Trader

Pondermint

@pondermint

0x8633c1c6844c5928b284a71e211584739474a08d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.55K
Realized PnL: $274.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $6.41K
Potential payout: $20.66K
Potential profit: $14.26K
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$948.8

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $7.01K
Potential payout: $13.88K
Potential profit: $6.87K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$3.56K

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $920.65
Potential payout: $12.28K
Potential profit: $11.35K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.78K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $300.24
Potential payout: $7.06K
Potential profit: $6.76K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$1.47K

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$894.67

Yes position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $845.72
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $898.04
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $295.98

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $583.02
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $742.02
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $156.68

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $962.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $137.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $344.9
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $655.1
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $38.14

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $139.87
Potential payout: $902.41
Potential profit: $762.54
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$22.76

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $45.7
Potential payout: $112.84
Potential profit: $67.14
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $67
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $61
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $9

No position

Critical Discord Incident by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $75.51
Potential payout: $86.3
Potential profit: $10.79
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.55K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.14K

Michigan Wolverines position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33K

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?

Ends Sep 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.36K

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.38K

Yes position

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03K

Michigan Wolverines position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43K

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.1K

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

Yes position

Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.12K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will Tim Walz say "Dog" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Arizona Wildcats position

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Duke Blue Devils position

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.44K

Texas Longhorns position

Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 28.6% 45 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 33.9% 2,300 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 30% 672.83 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 30% 5,000 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 29.9% 5,000 shares
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals 97% 200 shares
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies 92% 10.87 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.9% 10 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 98% 102.04 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 75% 200 shares
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 98.1% 200 shares
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 96% 300 shares