Polymarket Trader

Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy

0x8642cd0a25d32679b4b6ba00cc3341dfd8f468d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.71K
Realized PnL: $3.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Megaquake before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.12K
Potential profit: $7.12K
User PnL: -$6.72K

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36K
Potential profit: $6.36K
User PnL: -$517.11

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $146.51
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $234.32

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $665
Potential profit: $665
User PnL: -$9.31

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $196.29
Potential payout: $226.92
Potential profit: $30.63
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $62.4

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.43
Potential profit: $57.43
User PnL: -$19.7

Yes position

Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.67
Potential profit: $36.67
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.15
Potential profit: $23.15
User PnL: -$3.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.66

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.39

No position

Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.98

No position

Megaquake in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.28

No position

Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.34

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $220.93

No position

Megaquake in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.18

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185

No position

Megaquake in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.12

No position

Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.44

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.83

No position

Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.97

No position

Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.34

No position

Megaquake in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.06

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.66

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.64

No position

Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.5

No position

Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.75

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.95

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

No position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.61

No position

Megaquake in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.4

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.2

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 86% 2,584.8 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 92.4% 2,406.81 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 59% 226.92 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 43% 127.75 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 45% 127.76 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 38% 78.95 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 63% 83.33 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

No 46% 76.08 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 57% 77.72 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 36% 121.95 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

No 46% 76.09 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 41% 121.95 shares