Polymarket Trader

0x86503A08c128058c9EEC6ef9c96330c2DEf3b239-1781092190812

0x86503a08c128058c9eec6ef9c96330c2def3b239

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.37
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$36

No position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$13.38

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Uzbekistan position

Spread: Uzbekistan (-3.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.41
Potential profit: $355.41
User PnL: -$76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.08
Potential profit: $337.08
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.53
Potential profit: $252.53
User PnL: -$125

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.9
Potential profit: $248.9
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.79
Potential profit: $196.79
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $157.89
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.88
Potential profit: $140.88
User PnL: -$29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Côte dIvoire 37% 2.7 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 64% 1.56 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 9% 11.11 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 13% 38.46 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

No 12.2% 40.94 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 10, 2026?

No 2.5% 40 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 12% 41.67 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Netherlands 92% 16.66 shares
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Yes 80% 7.31 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Bosnia and Herzegovina 19% 5.26 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Yes 7% 14.28 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 4% 25 shares