Yes position
Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $9.59
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.41
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- -$10.01
Polymarket Trader
Spencerr2
0x8657780a1b312707b7afe48c6b755f6fef2ea0b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.59
- Realized PnL
- $14.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 52 million views on day 2?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 34 million views on day 2?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?Yes 98% 20 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 4?Yes 99.9% 32 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 99.8% 24 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?No 99% 16 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?No 97% 16 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 99% 18 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 97.5% 18 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16?No 99.9% 35 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 19 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 97% 19 shares
- Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?No 99.9% 15.01 shares