Yes position
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Polymarket Trader
ychurch
0x865af2a6a0b55d66b96e5372d9d929ad31e470a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.78
- Realized PnL
- $1.48
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $92.77
- Potential payout
- $93
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $71.53
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $63.46
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 93 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.6% 72 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.7% 144 shares
- Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 55 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 92 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 92 shares
- Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2% 39 shares
- Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?No 72.2% 6 shares
- Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 13 shares
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 97 shares
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 97 shares
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 56 shares