Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
tiequar
0x86734109f9ab42347a60fd37032452609157e61f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.16
- Realized PnL
- -$1.7K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $66.16
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $951.75
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$157.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.26
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.72
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 1,017.91 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 12.8% 1,561.71 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 7.1% 5,971.14 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 24.2% 825.97 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 33.7% 2,968.07 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 20.7% 84.59 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 2.9% 603.63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.2% 603.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 27% 71.21 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 43.5% 2,069.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 14% 71.21 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 43.5% 22.99 shares