Polymarket Trader

bushx

0x867b72766f49e9320f31d030f71e4a0d402d52a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.85
Realized PnL: $47.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 99% 10 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 94% 5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 31% 6 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 92.8% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Up 94% 5.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 64% 6 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 90% 5 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Yes 98.4% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Up 28.1% 11.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Up 79% 5.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 93% 5.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 96% 6 shares