No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.45
- Potential profit
- $183.45
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0x867D21ED2678FB56095888089AcA07Eea307f652-1764784374553
0x867d21ed2678fb56095888089aca07eea307f652
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.91
- Realized PnL
- $35.05
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $147.57
- Potential profit
- $147.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.93
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $12.93
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $93.46
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$7.07
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $105.26
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $61.73
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $54.35
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $38.22
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $18.22
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $16.73
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $21.73
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $6.73
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.98
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
England leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2025
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 14% 71.43 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 13.1% 76.14 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 44% 11.36 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 46% 10.87 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal 25% 20 shares
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain 31% 16.13 shares
- England leading at halftime?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 81% 61.73 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 40% 25 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 48% 20.83 shares