Polymarket Trader

babycarrot

0x8683f777ad3b19797dd0df409254edbd97bc3206

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $681.61
Realized PnL: $2.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $65.91
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$34.09

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $20.38
Potential payout: $952.38
Potential profit: $932
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $103.85
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $665.38
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $760.25
Potential profit: $760.25
User PnL: -$8.45

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $679.68
Potential profit: $679.68
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.56
Potential profit: $617.56
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470.18
Potential profit: $470.18
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.74
Potential profit: $418.74
User PnL: -$8.45

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.11
Potential profit: $327.11
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.57
Potential profit: $302.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.18
Potential profit: $288.18
User PnL: -$50

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $233.18
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $39.55
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $83.18

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $258.29
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $4.87
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $158.29

Yes position

Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.06
Potential profit: $263.06
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.36
Potential profit: $255.36
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.08
Potential profit: $252.08
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.08
Potential profit: $252.08
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.08
Potential profit: $252.08
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.08
Potential profit: $252.08
User PnL: -$3.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $147.48

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.87

Yes position

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.07

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.38

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.19

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.79

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.98

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.02

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.76

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.63

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.63

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.4

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 66% 30.3 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 61% 32.79 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53% 56.6 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51.1% 39.14 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 62.1% 32.21 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 4,545.45 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 22.06 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 38.46 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 28.85 shares