No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- User PnL
- -$389.17
Polymarket Trader
0x868aF871D90B2b3761cFDB1AD24ca3c7C39Dada6-1765082539204
0x868af871d90b2b3761cfdb1ad24ca3c7c39dada6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.16
- Realized PnL
- $14.8
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.86
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.86
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.91
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.68
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.45
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $56.61
- Potential profit
- $55.28
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $47.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $37.85
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $29.87
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $31.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $28.06
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $20.89
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $23.01
- Potential profit
- $22.83
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $22.93
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 44 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 85% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 97% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 87% 8 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 8% 516.75 shares
- Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.6% 144.13 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 41% 67.87 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No 31% 30 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 8.3% 6.25 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 16% 613.4 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 27% 276.24 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.6% 420 shares
- Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 144.13 shares