Polymarket Trader

0x869Aa17ACb1Fb23CAC2e4ccaed589AE3aD82bd64-1774802364653

0x869aa17acb1fb23cac2e4ccaed589ae3ad82bd64

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.67K
Realized PnL: $1.01K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $46.88
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.2K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $123.23
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $4.91K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $62.88

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $69.05
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $4.69K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$30.95

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $43.18
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$6.82

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $44.12
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$55.88

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $93.37
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $4.06K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $35.94
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.09K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$14.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $34.72
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.74K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$15.28

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $156.29
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $56.29

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $75.3
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$24.7

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $193.71
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $929.89
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: $93.71

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $935
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $59.9
Potential payout: $990.1
Potential profit: $930.2
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$40.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $62.86
Potential payout: $892.86
Potential profit: $830
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$37.14

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $70.83
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $762.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.75
Potential profit: $806.75
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $91.33
Potential payout: $702.52
Potential profit: $611.19
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$86.67

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $212.04
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $405.25
Multiplier: 2.91x
User PnL: $112.04

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $76.23
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $541.05
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$23.76

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.4
Potential profit: $477.4
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $54.46
Potential payout: $453.86
Potential profit: $399.39
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$45.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 1,000 shares
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Yes 9% 833.33 shares
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6.2% 1,602.93 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 34% 147.06 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 7.4% 806.75 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 1,724.14 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 2,946.67 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 2,083.33 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 617.28 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 617.28 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 892.86 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.1% 990.1 shares