Polymarket Trader

gambaman

0x86a6a0c5a10c3913ef806a31a1c7105f3ca33674

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.93K
Realized PnL: $19.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33K
Potential profit: $13.33K
User PnL: -$599.99

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $6.78K
Potential payout: $12.21K
Potential profit: $5.43K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $864.77

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.94K
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.14K

No position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.72K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$350

Notre Dame position

Ohio State vs. Notre Dame

Ends Jan 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$340

No position

Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734.52
Potential profit: $734.52
User PnL: -$400

Chiefs position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$150

T1 position

MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $609.76
Potential profit: $609.76
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540.54
Potential profit: $540.54
User PnL: -$200

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Bills

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.77
Potential profit: $480.77
User PnL: -$250

Georgetown position

DePaul vs. Georgetown

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.86
Potential profit: $469.86
User PnL: -$314.59

No position

Will Kamala say "ceasefire" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415.91
Potential profit: $415.91
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Trump say 'million' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$168

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $211.1
Potential payout: $211.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $77.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.34K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595.95

No position

Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.15

T1 position

MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legend

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.09

Yes position

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.07

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.4

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Ukraine" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Rams position

Vikings vs. Rams

Ends Jan 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "Marxist" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.14

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.57

Yes position

Will Trump say "border czar" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?

Yes 1.5% 1,333.33 shares
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Yes 63.5% 211.1 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 52.6% 950.07 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 52.3% 478.38 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 37.9% 2,636.36 shares
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

No 42.6% 1,760.77 shares
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

No 67.6% 1,479.15 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 34.7% 2,304.91 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

No 79% 588.45 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 50.9% 785.89 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 57.1% 525.72 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 58.3% 171.54 shares