Yes position
Will Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $51.4
- Potential profit
- $49.55
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
Dexsaf
0x86a6a519817e7bb547743b3a33899c29b4a04c3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.45
- Realized PnL
- -$0.62
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q2 Software revenue be above $8.35B?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $16.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $23.4
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
N
No position
Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?No 71% 21.59 shares
- Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 47.5% 12.5 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.6% 7 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.7% 7 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98% 5 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 97.3% 1.02 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 97.5% 1.03 shares