Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $129.41
- Potential profit
- $125.01
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Polymarket Trader
Po1yBot-H3BvZBDX7t
0x86bc09caf0b917940e1a7b8936cb630dc743b97f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.45
- Realized PnL
- $251.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $57.89
- Potential profit
- $57.08
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Y
Yes position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $40.12
- Potential profit
- $38.97
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Y
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $25.67
- Potential profit
- $24.62
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.03
- Potential profit
- $14.03
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $12.09
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- Multiplier
- 6.10x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $11.95
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- Multiplier
- 8.40x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $8.46
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $4.31
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.4%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 99.3% 0.34 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 99.3% 0.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 12% 9.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 99.3% 0.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 99.1% 0.23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 99.4% 0.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 99.3% 0.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 1.9% 57.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 98.1% 1.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 9.2% 11.95 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 1.7% 64.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 98.3% 0.31 shares