Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $52.18
- Potential payout
- $648.15
- Potential profit
- $595.98
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$17.82
Polymarket Trader
0x86BDD03679bf4d43211Ffaea5C58C59800162C98-1771613355359
0x86bdd03679bf4d43211ffaea5c58c59800162c98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $221.04
- Realized PnL
- $1.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $545.64
- Potential profit
- $545.64
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $411.42
- Potential profit
- $411.42
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $402.48
- Potential profit
- $402.48
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $76.92
- Potential payout
- $401.65
- Potential profit
- $324.74
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $388.8
- Potential profit
- $388.8
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.88
- Potential profit
- $368.88
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $39.11
- Potential payout
- $367.25
- Potential profit
- $328.14
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $52.83
- Potential payout
- $360.62
- Potential profit
- $307.79
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $12.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351.02
- Potential profit
- $351.02
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.31
- Potential profit
- $282.31
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.58
- Potential profit
- $277.58
- User PnL
- -$20.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.35
- Potential profit
- $277.35
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.64
- Potential profit
- $256.64
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.27
- Potential profit
- $246.27
- User PnL
- -$86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.22
- Potential profit
- $233.22
- User PnL
- -$41.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.41
- Potential profit
- $227.41
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.44
- Potential profit
- $225.44
- User PnL
- -$21.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.07
- Potential profit
- $224.07
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.88
- Potential profit
- $218.88
- User PnL
- -$53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.31
- Potential profit
- $217.31
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.57
- Potential profit
- $215.57
- User PnL
- -$19.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.37
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?Yes 99.4% 42.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 23?Yes 2% 48.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?Yes 23.3% 42.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?Yes 9.3% 64.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 18?Yes 0.6% 170.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?Yes 32.9% 54.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?Yes 54.8% 54.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?Yes 36% 89.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?Yes 29% 103.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?Yes 33.5% 89.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?Yes 7.4% 67.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?Yes 67% 29.85 shares