N
No position
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $991.99
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $248
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $162.6
Polymarket Trader
DanRonSantis
0x86c21640e98204b628b12179080fe8a88e5941be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.8%
- Current value
- $44.81
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Trump send the national guard to Boston by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Charlie" or "Kirk" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.54
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.99
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.45
Yes position
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.52
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.85
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik be out as Ambassador to the United Nations in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Sep 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
Yes position
Will Trump say "World Cup" this week? (September 29 - October 5)
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hindu" or "Hinduism" during Diwali Celebration events on October 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.6
Yes position
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.85
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kash" or "Patel" during Diwali Celebration events on October 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.5
Yes position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.95
Yes position
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.76
Yes position
Will Joe Biden make an appearance by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
Yes position
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.65
No position
Will Trump say "IQ" during Digital Asset Summit?
Ends Mar 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
No position
Will EA say "Saudi Arabia" during earnings call?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No 67% 300 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 59.3% 300 shares
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No 67% 100 shares
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No 67% 200 shares
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No 67% 499.99 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 1.66 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 627.07 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.1% 154 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.1% 464 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 39% 100 shares
- Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?No 90% 30 shares
- Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No 92.7% 100 shares