No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $21.31
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18.19
Polymarket Trader
0x86C4D1aC8E96e0e0fED406eA81FCa4edbA37fc8A-1774645018747
0x86c4d1ac8e96e0e0fed406ea81fca4edba37fc8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.15K
- Realized PnL
- -$39.9
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $25.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $274.5
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $85.83
- Potential payout
- $217.85
- Potential profit
- $132.02
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $35.83
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $21.35
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $94.04
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.65
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.88
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 300 shares
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 70% 42.86 shares
- Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes 26% 115.38 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 75% 66.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 81% 61.73 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?Yes 55% 90.91 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes 48.3% 196.17 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 23% 217.85 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 1,039.5 shares
- Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 9% 222.22 shares
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No 82% 304.88 shares