Polymarket Trader

crazytourist46

0x86d48319eea1d3dc2226c9e05ea207c2c15600ff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $148.7
Realized PnL: $35.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Rockets position

Nuggets vs. Rockets

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$2.48K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $121.27
Potential payout: $128.26
Potential profit: $6.99
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$6.73

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.8
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.92
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.3%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.57
Multiplier: 7.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.3%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $8.11
Potential payout: $8.15
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Trail Blazers position

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 6 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,950 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of April 20 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $275?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of March 30 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.8% 128.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.8% 120.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.7% 125.38 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?

No 99.9% 115.12 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 11 2026?

No 99.9% 120.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 99.7% 120.42 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,950 Week of May 4 2026?

No 99.6% 70.29 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?

No 99.8% 57.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

No 99.9% 100.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

No 99.9% 125.13 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of April 20 2026?

No 99.8% 124.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 99.9% 120.11 shares