Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$532
Polymarket Trader
JoeSR
0x86d6a4fb2f71531ee5c639fce92ed440914e8a05
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $125.75
- Realized PnL
- $9.36K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $672.34
- Potential profit
- $672.34
- User PnL
- -$148.59
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $125.75
- Potential payout
- $392.98
- Potential profit
- $267.23
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$137.54
Yes position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.77
Yes position
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.77
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.5
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.31
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.4
Yes position
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.42
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $77.95
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.3
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.45
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46
Yes position
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 82% 950 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 22.1% 5 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 4.3% 23.28 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes 32% 587.7 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 8, 2026?Yes 93% 100 shares
- US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Yes 38% 1,000 shares
- US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Yes 50% 343 shares
- US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Yes 28% 21.69 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 67% 392.98 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 44.3% 200 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?Yes 89% 6 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 20% 800 shares