Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $507.73
- Potential profit
- $507.73
- User PnL
- -$12.78
Polymarket Trader
GREYER
@Grala98e
0x86eb1343ce524c648d250bfdcec5da0cd1c15864
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- $813.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $63.6
- Potential payout
- $239.99
- Potential profit
- $176.4
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $178.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $101
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $159
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $95.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $103.99
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $104.4
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $22.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $77.8
- Multiplier
- 4.50x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $75.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $24.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $18.5
Yes position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $83.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $16.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Current value
- $47.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $52.4
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $78.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $21.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $44.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $55.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$67
No position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.7%
- Current value
- $63.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $36.3
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
Canada recession before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.32
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $30.06
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.16
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Up position
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
No position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.55
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 94% 200 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 89% 200 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.2% 200 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No 96.6% 199.99 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?No 97.1% 50 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?No 98.2% 50 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No 92% 200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 94.2% 200 shares
- Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)No 97.6% 49.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 90% 200 shares