Polymarket Trader

xkrashdaking

0x86ef3a5c0debd8f5aab5355ecea9d37842593e53

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.92
Realized PnL: $3.1K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$174.89

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $840.48
Potential profit: $840.48
User PnL: -$171.5

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $840.31
Potential profit: $840.31
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $817.79
Potential profit: $817.79
User PnL: -$73.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $678.01
Potential profit: $678.01
User PnL: -$71.07

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $522.37
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$6.05

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.72
Potential profit: $501.72
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $290.15
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$6.03

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.38
Potential profit: $290.38
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.83
Potential profit: $138.83
User PnL: -$24.99

Yes position

Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.51
Potential profit: $32.51
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.38

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.72

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.01

Yes position

Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.19

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$8.4

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$11.38

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$14.28

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 18% 138.83 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 14% 180.49 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 41% 180.49 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 39.7% 186.9 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 41.7% 186.9 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 9% 863 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 15.9% 863 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 32% 156.25 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Yes 37.1% 507.78 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Yes 23% 507.77 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29.9% 284.21 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 4.7% 249.83 shares